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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$126.6k

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

tennischamp sold Milwaukee Brewers at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 126,702 shares, Oct 28, 23:16 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $126.6k on not Milwaukee Brewers, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Milwaukee Brewers, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet tennischamp sold Milwaukee Brewers for $126.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Milwaukee Brewers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -80.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $126.6k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)4.9× this wallet's usual betSports

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW SELL Milwaukee Brewers @ 99.9¢ $44.9k
2.5× usual
0% kkookkoo15h agoExcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 65¢ $29.2k65% 0x2c33…056318h agoExcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 35¢ $10.5k35% 0x3dfb…abaf18h agoExcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 35¢ $15.0k35% 0xe34b…03a318h agoExcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysHIGH BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 58¢ $46.9k
2.3× usual
58% wollao NEW18h agoExcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 57¢ $72.2k
2.8× usual
57% tennischamp19h agoExcluded