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Spread: Japan (-2.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $89.4k on not Japan, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Japan (-2.5)excluded$89.4k
SELL Japan @ 99.9¢ · 89,469 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet NiNo999 took Japan (sell) for $89.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Japan. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $89.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $89.4k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 02:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Japan
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- NiNo999
- Tx
- 0x1c251d52…
This wallet's graded record
0/8-53.6 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | LOW BUY Japan @ 55¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | LOW BUY Tunisia @ 49¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | LOW BUY Tunisia @ 47¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | LOW BUY Tunisia @ 80¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | LOW BUY Japan @ 21¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | MED BUY Tunisia @ 80¢ | $25.9k | missed |