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Government shutdown on Saturday?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $20.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Government shutdown on Saturday?excluded$20.9k
BUY No @ 86¢ · 24,306 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet Bammer took No (buy) for $20.9k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−623American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 86.2%
- Size
- $20.9k
- Placed
- Feb 13, 22:06 EST
- Market close
- Feb 13, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Bammer
- Tx
- 0x1b60a5f3…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-19.3 pts
expected 0.2 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $468.2k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $79.8k | excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $71.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $34.9k | excluded |