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What this means. A wallet put $103.2k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$103.2k
BUY Argentina @ 94¢ · 109,788 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite4.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet jinsanity took Argentina (buy) for $103.2k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $103.2k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94¢
- Implied odds
- 94.0%
- As American odds
- −1567 no vig
- Size
- $103.2k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 06:25 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jinsanity
- Tx
- 0x168bc28b…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+24.5 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +6 ptsArgentina price · entry 94¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 96.2¢ | $45.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |