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What this means. A wallet put $55.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$55.5k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 55,555 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet debased took Yes (sell) for $55.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $55.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $55.5k
- Placed
- May 09, 14:35 EDT
- Market close
- May 08, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- debased
- Tx
- 0x14fc5aa4…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+12.5 pts
expected 11.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $519.1k 18.1× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $492.9k 5.9× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.09M 45.5× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $140.7k 8.3× usual |
excluded |