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What this means. A wallet put $21.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.7k
BUY No @ 96.2¢ · 22,554 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x6e8f…162c took No (buy) for $21.7k at an average 96.2¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2532American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.2¢
- Implied odds
- 96.2%
- Size
- $21.7k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 17:26 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 02:08 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6e8f…162c
- Tx
- 0x1446de44…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+3.6 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +4 ptsNo price · entry 96.2¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $38.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $26.0k | excluded |