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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$53.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$31.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $734.5k volume · 393 trades · since Jan 20, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$30.7k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$423
Closed-position win rate
90%
67 closed
Wallet age · markets
278d
83 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x641977…