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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$36.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Car sold No at 81¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 19% chance. 45,074 shares, Oct 29, 13:16 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $36.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Car sold No for $36.6k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied 19% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $36.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.7 ptsNo price · entry 81¢ · now 80¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $46.2k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $28.7k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $20.0k | OpenResolves Dec 31 |