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What this means. A wallet put $13.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.7k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 13,684 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet cezarn132 took No (sell) for $13.7k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $13.7k
- Placed
- May 15, 01:28 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- cezarn132
- Tx
- 0x102541be…
This wallet's graded record
6/9-24.4 pts
expected 8.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $26.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.9k | excluded |