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What this means. A wallet put $67.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5excluded
$67.0k
BUY Over @ 51¢ · 131,794 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.6× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet JMMMMM took Over (buy) for $67.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $67.0k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
50.8%
As American odds
−103 no vig
Size
$67.0k
Placed
Jul 09, 16:06 EDT
Market close
Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
JMMMMM
Tx
0x0b172a74…
This wallet's graded record
0/4-40.9 pts
expected 1.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Over price · entry 51¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $67.0k WHALE $67.0K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ $20.4k0% 0x7d6d…2654107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ $11.7k0% Zetalias107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 98.7¢ $46.1k99% Mind.The.Gap107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Under @ 97.2¢ $16.8k3% 0xe337…4ad6107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ $10.3k40% us391107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5MED BUY Over @ 45¢ $40.1k45% 0xec44…c92b107d agoexcluded