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Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $12.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded$12.3k
BUY Yes @ 98¢ · 12,517 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet zaaaawarudooo took Yes (buy) for $12.3k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 98.0%
- As American odds
- −4900 no vig
- Size
- $12.3k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 01:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- zaaaawarudooo
- Tx
- 0x0aac495e…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsYes price · entry 98¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $83.0k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded |