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What this means. A wallet put $14.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.9k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet DonaldinhoTrumpito took No (buy) for $14.9k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 99.4%
- Size
- $14.9k
- Placed
- Aug 19, 02:53 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- DonaldinhoTrumpito
- Tx
- 0x0865da87…
This wallet's graded record
13/16+1.2 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $99.6k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $109.3k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $27.4k | excluded |