← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $24.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.5k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 35,648 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet AWice took Yes (buy) for $24.5k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−221American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 68.8%
- Size
- $24.5k
- Placed
- Apr 02, 23:59 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 08, 20:28 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AWice
- Tx
- 0x083f3e93…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-17.5 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +31 ptsYes price · entry 69¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $870.2k 35.3× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.13M 5.2× usual |
excluded |