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What this means. A wallet put $24.0k on Milwaukee Brewers, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.4 pts over 57 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolesexcluded
$24.0k
BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 60¢ · 39,964 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Milwaukee Brewers (buy) for $24.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Milwaukee Brewers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Milwaukee Brewers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.0%
As American odds
−150 no vig
Size
$24.0k
Placed
Sep 18, 19:12 EDT
Market close
Sep 18, 19:05 EDT
Result
Milwaukee Brewers
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x2c33…0563
Tx
0x07996cd8…
This wallet's graded record
30/57-1.4 pts
expected 30.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +40 pts
Milwaukee Brewers price · entry 60¢ · resolved Milwaukee Brewers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $24.0k WHALE $24.0K @ 60¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesLOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 43¢ $22.6k43% jtwyslljy36d agoexcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesLOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 42¢ $12.6k42% 0x16bb…849236d agoexcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 58¢ $14.8k58% NS1336d agocalled
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 58¢ $20.0k58% BrotherObama PROVEN36d agocalled

Whale money on this game, both venues

$10k+ trades we flagged on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles, added up per side across Polymarket and Kalshi. These are trade sizes, not open positions, and Kalshi rarely names the trader, so the same person could be on both venues.

Milwaukee Brewers 3 trades$58.8k
Polymarket $58.8k (this flag)Kalshi none
Baltimore Orioles 3 trades$45.7k
Polymarket $35.2kKalshi $10.5k

Bars are scaled to the bigger side. Activity, not a recommendation: big money on a side has not beaten the price on our scoreboard.

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.

YES Baltimore$10.5k46¢36d ago