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What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on Milwaukee Brewers, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.8k
BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 58¢ · 25,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took Milwaukee Brewers (buy) for $14.8k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Milwaukee Brewers, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Milwaukee Brewers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $14.8k
- Placed
- Sep 18, 13:10 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 18, 19:05 EDT
- Result
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0x93ec3ca0…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsMilwaukee Brewers price · entry 58¢ · resolved Milwaukee Brewers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 43¢ | $22.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 60¢ | $24.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 42¢ | $12.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 58¢ | $20.0k | called |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Baltimore | $10.5k | 46¢ | 35d ago |