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What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on Milwaukee Brewers, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It won. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolescalled
$14.8k
BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 58¢ · 25,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet NS13 took Milwaukee Brewers (buy) for $14.8k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Milwaukee Brewers, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Milwaukee Brewers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$14.8k
Placed
Sep 18, 13:10 EDT
Market close
Sep 18, 19:05 EDT
Result
Milwaukee Brewers
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
NS13
Tx
0x93ec3ca0…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +42 pts
Milwaukee Brewers price · entry 58¢ · resolved Milwaukee Brewers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $14.8k WHALE $14.8K @ 58¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesLOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 43¢ $22.6k43% jtwyslljy35d agoexcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 60¢ $24.0k60% 0x2c33…056335d agoexcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesLOW BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 42¢ $12.6k42% 0x16bb…849235d agoexcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 58¢ $20.0k58% BrotherObama PROVEN36d agocalled

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES Baltimore$10.5k46¢35d ago