← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.8k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.8k
SELL Under @ 99.9¢ · 30,804 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Woaifacai took Under (sell) for $30.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $30.8k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 12:44 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 24, 10:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Woaifacai
- Tx
- 0x05b57769…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+17.3 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 55¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 55¢ | $23.1k | missed |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ | $14.4k | missed |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 51¢ | $188.4k 6.7× usual |
missed |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 51¢ | $100.0k 3.1× usual |
missed |
| Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 50¢ | $20.0k | missed |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.
| NO Over 3.5 goals scored | $11.0k | 90¢ | 13h ago |
| NO Over 2.5 goals scored | $20.2k | 54¢ | 14h ago |
| NO Over 3.5 goals scored | $27.5k | 73¢ | 14h ago |
| YES Arsenal | $13.1k | 87¢ | 15h ago |
| NO Over 2.5 1H goals scored | $15.3k | 94.4¢ | 15h ago |
| YES Arsenal | $34.9k | 87¢ | 15h ago |
| NO Over 1.5 1H goals scored | $14.0k | 67¢ | 15h ago |
| YES Over 0.5 1H goals scored | $12.2k | 73¢ | 15h ago |