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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.8k
SELL Yes @ 2.7¢ · 400,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet arlanta took Yes (sell) for $10.8k at an average 2.7¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 2.7¢
- Implied odds
- 97.3%
- As American odds
- −3604 no vig
- Size
- $10.8k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 15:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 21:57 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- arlanta
- Tx
- 0x04b673a7…
This wallet's graded record
1/8-34.3 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsYes price · entry 2.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 97.7¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $28.9k | called | |
| MED BUY No @ 96.5¢ | $99.3k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $20.0k | called |