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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$10.8k
SELL Yes @ 2.7¢ · 400,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet arlanta took Yes (sell) for $10.8k at an average 2.7¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
2.7¢
Implied odds
97.3%
As American odds
−3604 no vig
Size
$10.8k
Placed
Jun 30, 15:33 EDT
Market close
Jul 07, 21:57 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
arlanta
Tx
0x04b673a7…
This wallet's graded record
1/8-34.3 pts
expected 3.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
Yes price · entry 2.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 2.7¢ · $10.8k WHALE $10.8K @ 2.7¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $27.0k100% cryptojo109d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $22.1k100% borntoolate.eth109d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 97.7¢ $11.7k2% lck111109d agoexcluded
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 96.5¢ $28.9k96% 0x2233…cb7e109d agocalled
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY No @ 96.5¢ $99.3k97% kgvdotcom109d agocalled
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $20.0k96% cezarn132109d agocalled