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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
SELL Yes @ 95.1¢ · 10,552 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x5bff…ffbe took Yes (sell) for $10.0k at an average 95.1¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 95.1¢
- Implied odds
- 4.9%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- May 10, 13:26 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x5bff…ffbe
- Tx
- 0x02fe09e7…
This wallet's graded record
15/18+1.5 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $61.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $33.0k | excluded |