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Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $48.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded$48.1k
BUY Yes @ 78¢ · 62,112 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet trillionaire took Yes (buy) for $48.1k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $48.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−345American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 77.5%
- As American odds
- −345 no vig
- Size
- $48.1k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 00:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- trillionaire
- Tx
- 0x0239fd2d…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-48.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +22 ptsYes price · entry 78¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $83.0k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded |