Tuesday, June 16, 2026

377 whale trades totalling $32.19M from 230 wallets. Biggest: $1.38M sell Yes on “Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?” at 99.9¢. 30 of 47 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 26.9 expected (+6.5 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.38M 6.0× usual	0%	Latina	129d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$1.29M 2.2× usual	100%	PowellTheKing	130d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.24M 5.4× usual	0%	Latina	129d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	HIGH BUY No @ 34¢	$1.17M 2.6× usual	34%	weatherman12	129d ago	missed	Trade this
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$1.00M 2.1× usual	100%	Shirtybonds	129d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 64¢	$887.1k 3.8× usual	64%	Latina	129d ago	excluded
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$799.2k 19.2× usual	100%	0x2c33…0563	129d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$718.1k 14.2× usual	100%	elmcap2	129d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$697.2k	100%	PowellTheKing	129d ago	excluded
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals	HIGH BUY Washington Nationals @ 57¢	$625.1k 2.7× usual	57%	Latina	129d ago	called	Trade this
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 9.5¢	$617.3k 11.2× usual	10%	gud.hl NEW	130d ago	missed	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$597.6k	100%	PowellTheKing	129d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$597.0k 4.1× usual	100%	timemachinee	130d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 67¢	$552.9k 2.4× usual	67%	Latina	130d ago	called	Trade this
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 63¢	$506.9k	63%	weatherman12	129d ago	excluded

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$1.38M

MED Latina · 129d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$1.29M

MED PowellTheKing · 130d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-16?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$1.24M

MED Latina · 129d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?missed

BUY No @ 34¢$1.17M

HIGH weatherman12 · 129d ago

Trade this

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$1.00M

MED Shirtybonds · 129d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?excluded

BUY Yes @ 64¢$887.1k

HIGH Latina · 129d ago

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$799.2k

LOW 0x2c33…0563 · 129d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$718.1k

MED elmcap2 · 129d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$697.2k

LOW PowellTheKing · 129d ago

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalscalled

BUY Washington Nationals @ 57¢$625.1k

HIGH Latina · 129d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 9.5¢$617.3k

HIGH New wallet gud.hl · 130d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$597.6k

LOW PowellTheKing · 129d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$597.0k

LOW timemachinee · 130d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-16?called

BUY Yes @ 67¢$552.9k

HIGH Latina · 130d ago

Trade this

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?excluded

BUY Yes @ 63¢$506.9k

HIGH weatherman12 · 129d ago

Most traded markets

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

$7.13M · 79 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

$7.12M · 84 flags

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

$6.34M · 87 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

$3.81M · 16 flags

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$1.52M · 10 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

$953.1k · 12 flags