Tuesday, April 21, 2026

344 whale trades totalling $19.85M from 209 wallets. Biggest: $2.25M buy Yes on “Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?” at 82¢. 37 of 64 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 41.2 expected (-6.6 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 82¢	$2.25M	82%	blindStaking	185d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 98.2¢	$2.17M	98%	0x7728…cd96 NEW	186d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.2¢	$1.87M	2%	0x7728…cd96 NEW	186d ago	excluded
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	HIGH BUY Spurs @ 85¢	$792.6k 18.9× usual	85%	0x3625…1187	185d ago	excluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 81¢	$365.0k 5.5× usual	81%	vbv19	185d ago	excluded
76ers vs. Celtics	HIGH BUY Celtics @ 88¢	$357.3k 5.3× usual	88%	vbv19	185d ago	excluded
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$353.9k 5.3× usual	0%	vbv19	185d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢	$319.4k	99%	Ryan888	186d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.7¢	$263.8k	1%	0xd41e…54fc NEW	185d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.7¢	$240.1k	1%	0xd41e…54fc NEW	185d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 82¢	$236.1k	82%	aekghas	186d ago	called	Trade this
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.7¢	$203.4k	1%	0x020b…c9ac NEW	186d ago	excluded
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	HIGH SELL No @ 98.7¢	$200.8k	1%	0x020b…c9ac NEW	186d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$189.9k 4.6× usual	100%	Pestle	186d ago	excluded
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 52¢	$185.5k	52%	0x4924…3782	185d ago	called	Trade this

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?excluded

BUY Yes @ 82¢$2.25M

HIGH blindStaking · 185d ago

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 98.2¢$2.17M

HIGH New wallet 0x7728…cd96 · 186d ago

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 98.2¢$1.87M

HIGH New wallet 0x7728…cd96 · 186d ago

Trail Blazers vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 85¢$792.6k

HIGH 0x3625…1187 · 185d ago

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?excluded

BUY Yes @ 81¢$365.0k

HIGH vbv19 · 185d ago

76ers vs. Celticsexcluded

BUY Celtics @ 88¢$357.3k

HIGH vbv19 · 185d ago

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$353.9k

MED vbv19 · 185d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.4¢$319.4k

LOW Ryan888 · 186d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$263.8k

HIGH New wallet 0xd41e…54fc · 185d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$240.1k

HIGH New wallet 0xd41e…54fc · 185d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?called

BUY No @ 82¢$236.1k

MED aekghas · 186d ago

Trade this

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$203.4k

HIGH New wallet 0x020b…c9ac · 186d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$200.8k

HIGH New wallet 0x020b…c9ac · 186d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$189.9k

LOW Pestle · 186d ago

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)called

BUY Trail Blazers @ 52¢$185.5k

MED 0x4924…3782 · 185d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

$4.22M · 3 flags

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?

$3.25M · 17 flags

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

$1.75M · 31 flags

76ers vs. Celtics

$1.28M · 29 flags

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

$1.08M · 34 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

$1.08M · 9 flags