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Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

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Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Volume
$90.2k

No $10k+ trade on this market has been flagged yet, so there are no graded flags here. You can still see who holds each side, and big trades as they happen.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Some rural Republicans in California say redistricting has left them without a voiceNPR · 9h agoA Mississippi Democrat is unexpectedly threatening Republicans’ grip on the US SenateThe Guardian · 17h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 30¢no rated wallets
  1. C03B$3,591
  2. prodset$988
  3. anoin123$823
  4. Haradwaith$500
  5. lissartter$267
  6. 0xa169…1b73$187
  7. qianbei$180
  8. automatedmm$160
  9. Antony82$151
  10. robert-mukhametov$110
  11. Cornishon$76
  12. Sa1LaR$70
No 70¢no rated wallets
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$11.1k
  2. paddaa$2,972
  3. Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed$1,142
  4. 0xc7d0…1f8a$477
  5. donthackme$448
  6. CT-test$242
  7. balthazar$235
  8. 0opj4kuu4xb2$212
  9. tradetosurvive1$195
  10. Elias.Thornwell$65
  11. 0x86f0…610c$31
  12. HerrieDavis$29

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

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