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Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolved: No
Flags
14
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$988.1k
Price 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$1.17M
10 flags
none none
Not No$182.5k
4 flags
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.7k
3.9× usual
100% 0xcd64…b1b3111d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $31.3k100% BondGirls111d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $25.3k100% CenterStage111d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $42.8k100% Prometheusssss111d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% Momo63112d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $799.2k
19.1× usual
100% 0x2c33…0563129d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $32.2k1% 0x1fad…b5b2293d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $34.5k100% 0x1fad…b5b2293d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $45.7k1% 0x6327…e181293d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $51.8k100% 0x6327…e181294d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $56.4k1% 0x6327…e181294d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $61.7k100% 0x6327…e181295d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $48.2k1% 0x1fad…b5b2296d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $48.2k100% 0x1fad…b5b2296d agoexcluded

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 14 whale trades on this market totalling $1.35M from 8 wallets. The largest was $799.2k (buy No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($1.17M) went to No. 10 of 14 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0x2c33…0563 ($799.2k), has called 27 of 54 graded flags overall (-3.7 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-paraguay-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-967).