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What this means. A wallet put $25.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.3k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 25,375 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet CenterStage took No (buy) for $25.3k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $25.3k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 14:38 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 04, 22:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CenterStage
- Tx
- 0x965ead5a…
This wallet's graded record
2/3-7.5 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.7k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $42.8k | excluded |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $799.2k 19.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $32.2k | excluded |