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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY No @ 83¢ · 12,708 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet carlos484 took No (buy) for $10.5k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−476American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 82.6%
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Sep 03, 01:01 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- carlos484
- Tx
- 0xff9bee9d…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+7.2 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 91.2¢ | $41.0k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $13.7k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $10.3k | called |