← Wallets
+$1,157Yes · avg 90¢ → 93.2¢ · $32.2k+$2No · avg 97¢ → 97¢ · $8,326+$105No · avg 93.7¢ → 95¢ · $7,943+$1No · avg 93.5¢ → 93.5¢ · $5,745+$132No · avg 88¢ → 90¢ · $4,884+$52No · avg 92.2¢ → 93.3¢ · $4,592+$90No · avg 91.5¢ → 93.5¢ · $4,313−$7No · avg 96.4¢ → 96¢ · $1,682
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did -39.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-39.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$308.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$7,235
Last 30 days +$12.2k · $4.29M volume · 22,775 trades · since May 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$56.6k
Open P&L · 11 positions
+$1,574
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
152d
9663 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.8 | -39.5 pts |
History
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