{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x1674c7a654ad25b68e9df7ac71e3711ecc5c86bde2063ceb8be586ea9c44f028","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xbbfd2639e9798f1cf15a53149afb92671a15955b0797e40381cd863d5dce8046:1","id":"trade:0xbbfd2639e9798f1cf15a53149afb92671a15955b0797e40381cd863d5dce8046:1","implied":0.01694595919999997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9830540408,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1791991347,"title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?","usd":15142.52207016484,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x307c3a3df5166c81726da8b6eab53091db99a0af67076b38fd17e55b2836708d:1","id":"trade:0x307c3a3df5166c81726da8b6eab53091db99a0af67076b38fd17e55b2836708d:1","implied":0.92,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.92,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789924086,"title":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","usd":10301.2124,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x13c0d7bcdfdec8b8c5dc36bf9fc392da7adfa1aa739c6285f5bbbe91ced0e678:1","id":"trade:0x13c0d7bcdfdec8b8c5dc36bf9fc392da7adfa1aa739c6285f5bbbe91ced0e678:1","implied":0.05999999999999994,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9400000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1787333902,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","usd":69498.1198,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6893714e636ed716d6586ac89d25af8da10ec69a94333e3c7221722b01db247b:1","id":"trade:0x6893714e636ed716d6586ac89d25af8da10ec69a94333e3c7221722b01db247b:1","implied":0.9400000000000001,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9400000000000001,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1787152134,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","usd":20123.52,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x75e12f5ffb1ce0dd0f7ae0161686c05613dec35f1366af15a79eac6179eb73d5:1","id":"trade:0x75e12f5ffb1ce0dd0f7ae0161686c05613dec35f1366af15a79eac6179eb73d5:1","implied":0.87,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.87,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1786868428,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","usd":24993.36,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x3a7f627805355a2bebbae3c615d55126fb5d12d629fc60c806b25b187b6f27c8:1","id":"trade:0x3a7f627805355a2bebbae3c615d55126fb5d12d629fc60c806b25b187b6f27c8:1","implied":0.027000000000000024,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.973,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1786560543,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","usd":15756.528479999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x31c21919cdcc9a97bb26c8f646369e08d6f3b8cb33ae716a5c8112d6ff173c2a:1","id":"trade:0x31c21919cdcc9a97bb26c8f646369e08d6f3b8cb33ae716a5c8112d6ff173c2a:1","implied":0.06999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.93,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1786249390,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","usd":13832.689800000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x45f52f8981bf346fbddacf01a4c6b797fafa23fd3016df26ff238cbb4fc6b74d:1","id":"trade:0x45f52f8981bf346fbddacf01a4c6b797fafa23fd3016df26ff238cbb4fc6b74d:1","implied":0.0039999999999998925,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9960000000000001,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1785242768,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":22344.323760000003,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x5fe59e71904e25456cf1c19d03dd2a6e5ff8c43759de5b484d9dd37ec65f4395:1","id":"trade:0x5fe59e71904e25456cf1c19d03dd2a6e5ff8c43759de5b484d9dd37ec65f4395:1","implied":0.9,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784900653,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","usd":12769.443000000001,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x996cb21cd5949ff3869a1437bfb460c085358b72e9c9b6b4df6448f26f2e48e8:1","id":"trade:0x996cb21cd5949ff3869a1437bfb460c085358b72e9c9b6b4df6448f26f2e48e8:1","implied":0.87,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.87,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1784799616,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","usd":17860.5954,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x463adef7214b7aa9fad38fe855459066c682792508e389b1b2165b7d656c5c11:1","id":"trade:0x463adef7214b7aa9fad38fe855459066c682792508e389b1b2165b7d656c5c11:1","implied":0.99,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.99,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784286151,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":30675.546000000002,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xf24d4d0af01b7bd466a291d52c70a427f67352f529498cb91a3a65604e70532a:1","id":"trade:0xf24d4d0af01b7bd466a291d52c70a427f67352f529498cb91a3a65604e70532a:1","implied":0.989,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.989,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1784215375,"title":"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","usd":39478.18992,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"},{"condition_id":"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x4a8fdc48abb8d7abcb619004229f6daa702fefa4a84dc68a99dda98bd9e08f62:1","id":"trade:0x4a8fdc48abb8d7abcb619004229f6daa702fefa4a84dc68a99dda98bd9e08f62:1","implied":0.87,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.87,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1780605825,"title":"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","usd":15361.0506,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.395,"exp_rate":0.895,"expected":1.79,"hit":0.5,"n":2,"se":0.216043977004683},"wallet":"0xf0f86cdb6872730ca12c84ff8b014a539b8c325f"}
