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What this means. A wallet put $69.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$69.5k
SELL No @ 94¢ · 73,934 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.9× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet V1nch0u took No (sell) for $69.5k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $69.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94¢
- Implied odds
- 6.0%
- Size
- $69.5k
- Placed
- Aug 21, 13:38 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- V1nch0u
- Tx
- 0x13c0d7bc…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-39.5 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $432.1k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $137.6k | excluded |