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What this means. A wallet put $432.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$432.1k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 432,656 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)5.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 033033033 took No (buy) for $432.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $432.1k+3
Near-certain price-2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $432.1k
- Placed
- Sep 29, 08:48 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 033033033
- Tx
- 0x4d698610…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $137.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.9k | excluded |