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What this means. A wallet put $22.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.3k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 22,434 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet V1nch0u took No (sell) for $22.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.4%
- Size
- $22.3k
- Placed
- Jul 28, 08:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- V1nch0u
- Tx
- 0x45f52f89…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-39.5 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $34.6k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |