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What this means. A wallet put $454.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$454.0k
BUY No @ 99.1¢ · 458,133 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4.7× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0xe639…082a took No (buy) for $454.0k at an average 99.1¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $454.0k+3
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−11011American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.1¢
- Implied odds
- 99.1%
- Size
- $454.0k
- Placed
- Sep 14, 17:46 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe639…082a
- Tx
- 0xfe6dc6fa…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+0.1 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.1¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $213.6k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $91.5k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ | $59.5k 3.2× usual |
excluded |