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What this means. A wallet put $166.6k on Spain, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$166.6k
BUY Spain @ 60¢ · 278,778 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1hFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet Asan1988 took Spain (buy) for $166.6k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $166.6k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−148American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 59.8%
- As American odds
- −148 no vig
- Size
- $166.6k
- Placed
- Jul 18, 19:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Asan1988
- Tx
- 0xfe1b3ca6…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-67.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsSpain price · entry 60¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $72.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |