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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?missed
$10.2k
SELL No @ 96.9¢ · 10,576 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Hohol3d took No (sell) for $10.2k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
96.9¢
Implied odds
3.1%
Size
$10.2k
Placed
Feb 06, 21:29 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Hohol3d
Tx
0xfb46d3be…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.1 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $41.7k0% MisterFixel238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.4k0% BabyKangroo238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.3k0% F0sEE238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $44.6k0% How.Dare.You238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $44.6k0% How.Dare.You238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $110.5k0% ElvenWisp238d agoexcluded