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What this means. A wallet put $64.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded
$64.4k
BUY No @ 98.9¢ · 65,059 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite4 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet wkmfa518 took No (buy) for $64.4k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $64.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9162American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98.9¢
Implied odds
98.9%
Size
$64.4k
Placed
Feb 06, 10:04 EST
Market close
Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
wkmfa518
Tx
0xfb40966b…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+5.8 pts
expected 1.9 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.1k100% Debosnys220d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $31.0k100% Oddinn220d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% Snpe220d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% Pestle220d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $400.5k100% ForgetAboutBenjamin220d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $203.0k0% Nieruchy220d agoexcluded