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What this means. A wallet put $17.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?excluded
$17.5k
SELL No @ 99.4¢ · 17,598 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet pakukudolphi took No (sell) for $17.5k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.4¢
Implied odds
0.6%
Size
$17.5k
Placed
Jul 25, 10:50 EDT
Market close
Jul 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
pakukudolphi
Tx
0xfa810a49…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-28.5 pts
expected 3.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.4¢ · $17.5k WHALE $17.5K @ 99.4¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $34.6k
2.0× usual
0% thoodr82d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.4k0% Jest5583d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% Lisbon84d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.9k0% ThanksGivingTurkey100185d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $34.0k0% Alpheo85d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% danielleggerman85d agoexcluded