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What this means. A wallet put $28.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?excluded
$28.8k
SELL Yes @ 57¢ · 50,593 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x709e…66f5 took Yes (sell) for $28.8k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $28.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
57¢
Implied odds
43.0%
As American odds
+133 no vig
Size
$28.8k
Placed
Jun 20, 12:56 EDT
Market close
Jun 20, 13:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x709e…66f5
Tx
0xf4523789…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+24.9 pts
expected 4.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
Yes price · entry 57¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 57¢ · $28.8k WHALE $28.8K @ 57¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $17.2k0% JZZZZZ678126d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.2k0% winner877126d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.7k0% omnibus-424779126d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% starbuck02126d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.1k0% Mexcol126d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $91.0k
4.3× usual
0% ipop00126d agoexcluded