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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on Los Angeles Dodgers, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+5.3 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.7k
BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 59¢ · 21,588 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took Los Angeles Dodgers (buy) for $12.7k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Atlanta Braves, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.7k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Los Angeles Dodgers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.0%
- As American odds
- −144 no vig
- Size
- $12.7k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 14:08 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Atlanta Braves
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0xf3131609…
This wallet's graded record
17/25+5.3 pts
expected 15.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -59 ptsLos Angeles Dodgers price · entry 59¢ · resolved Atlanta Braves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Atlanta Braves @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 64¢ | $16.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 68¢ | $127.4k 3.2× usual |
missed | |
| HIGH BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 69¢ | $1.17M | missed | |
| MED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 66¢ | $131.9k 3.3× usual |
missed | |
| LOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 59¢ | $39.7k | missed |