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Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?excluded$19.3k
SELL Yes @ 28¢ · 69,306 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (sell) for $19.3k at an average 28¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 28¢
- Implied odds
- 72.2%
- As American odds
- −259 no vig
- Size
- $19.3k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 18:19 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 16:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0xf14a6f29…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $28.4k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $28.1k | excluded |