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What this means. A wallet put $16.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +13.4 pts vs the price over 36 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.7k
BUY Yes @ 35¢ · 47,683 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet Erasmus. took Yes (buy) for $16.7k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.7k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 35.0%
- Size
- $16.7k
- Placed
- May 12, 11:51 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Erasmus.
- Tx
- 0xeeafd9f6…
This wallet's graded record
29/36+13.4 pts
expected 24.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $110.4k | excluded |