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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. It won. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?called
$10.1k
BUY Yes @ 22¢ · 45,797 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet KSK91 took Yes (buy) for $10.1k at an average 22¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 22¢ means
22%chance the market gave
+355American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
22¢
Implied odds
22.0%
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Feb 19, 04:44 EST
Market close
Mar 03, 19:58 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
KSK91
Tx
0xeea8a0bf…
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.5k0% Malfunction.234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% bosshog234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $161.5k
8.1× usual
0% Thomas58234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% randomlypunting234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% 100x234d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $89.9k0% alliswell234d agoexcluded