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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?excluded
$10.3k
BUY No @ 38¢ · 27,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet sirko133 took No (buy) for $10.3k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
38¢
Implied odds
38.0%
As American odds
+163 no vig
Size
$10.3k
Placed
May 10, 11:02 EDT
Market close
May 10, 11:30 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
sirko133
Tx
0xee85231c…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+24.9 pts
expected 2.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -38 pts
No price · entry 38¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 38¢ · $10.3k WHALE $10.3K @ 38¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $94.1k0% jembolen NEW167d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% BruceWayne77167d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $27.9k0% Gh0stTradez167d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.4k0% VoidEclipse167d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $27.6k0% MilesY167d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.1k0% qscbn167d agoexcluded