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What this means. A wallet put $14.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 87% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?missed
$14.9k
BUY No @ 87¢ · 17,126 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletOther

What happened

Wallet envioner took No (buy) for $14.9k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 87% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $14.9k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 87¢ means
87%chance the market gave
−669American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
87¢
Implied odds
87.0%
Size
$14.9k
Placed
Jun 02, 13:57 EDT
Market close
Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
envioner
Tx
0xee4440ef…
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.3k100% tewsss129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.0k100% Ordon129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.5k100% 0xfef4…29bd129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k
2.8× usual
0% KiernanMeister129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $134.1k0% Ferwhere129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% pup1129d agoexcluded