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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$142.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$29.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $285.2k volume · 34 trades · since Jun 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$29.4k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$200
Closed-position win rate
75%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
144d
4 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | HIGH SELL No @ 41¢ | $40.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 64¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 87¢ | $14.9k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 87¢ | $14.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc6e8cd…