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What this means. A wallet put $14.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.1k
SELL Yes @ 94¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet aaaaaag took Yes (sell) for $14.1k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94¢
- Implied odds
- 6.0%
- Size
- $14.1k
- Placed
- Mar 17, 18:16 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aaaaaag
- Tx
- 0xee34200c…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+24.1 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.5k | excluded |