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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.5k
BUY No @ 98.2¢ · 13,749 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Paul973973 took No (buy) for $13.5k at an average 98.2¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.5k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5421American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.2¢
- Implied odds
- 98.2%
- Size
- $13.5k
- Placed
- Sep 08, 11:54 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Paul973973
- Tx
- 0xed78bbfb…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+7.1 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $432.1k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $137.6k | excluded |