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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
BUY No @ 76¢ · 13,494 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet FelipeDiniz took No (buy) for $10.3k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−317American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 76.0%
- As American odds
- −317 no vig
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Jan 28, 10:42 EST
- Market close
- Jan 28, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- FelipeDiniz
- Tx
- 0xebe945b1…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-76.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -76 ptsNo price · entry 76¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $158.7k | excluded |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | MED BUY No @ 45¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 22¢ | $26.8k | called |