← Wallets
−$5,426Yes · avg 18¢ → 2.5¢ · $879
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -56.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-56.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$225.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.13M
Last 30 days +$1,461 · $62.95M volume · 24,777 trades · since Oct 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$13.96M
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$196.8k
Closed-position win rate
80%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
744d
749 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -56.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 56¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | LOW BUY No @ 56¢ | $10.8k | missed |
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | MED BUY Alcaraz @ 63¢ | $126.3k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
 Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 59¢ | $45.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
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