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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on Under, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5excluded
$17.4k
BUY Under @ 71¢ · 24,564 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet mooseborzoi took Under (buy) for $17.4k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
71¢
Implied odds
71.0%
As American odds
−245 no vig
Size
$17.4k
Placed
Jun 30, 20:33 EDT
Market close
Jun 30, 21:00 EDT
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
mooseborzoi
Tx
0xeaabd2eb…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +29 pts
Under price · entry 71¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 71¢ · $17.4k WHALE $17.4K @ 71¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 98¢ $10.6k98% curie115d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Over @ 57¢ $14.2k43% EthanKoon115d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 77¢ $39.8k77% 0x3dfb…abaf115d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5MED SELL Over @ 81¢ $24.4k19% AV23IUa PROVEN115d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 83¢ $30.0k83% Emadmousavi115d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 29¢ $15.7k29% theboss2115d agoexcluded