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What this means. A wallet put $11.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.3k
SELL Yes @ 55¢ · 20,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet tsybka took Yes (sell) for $11.3k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- Size
- $11.3k
- Placed
- Apr 23, 15:33 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 18, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tsybka
- Tx
- 0xe9d95558…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+71.4 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |