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What this means. A wallet put $16.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -21.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.9k
BUY No @ 75¢ · 22,388 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet denizz took No (buy) for $16.9k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−305American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.3%
- Size
- $16.9k
- Placed
- Jan 14, 15:06 EST
- Market close
- Jan 17, 02:47 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- denizz
- Tx
- 0xe9d280d9…
This wallet's graded record
7/24-21.7 pts
expected 12.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsNo price · entry 75¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $45.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.9k | excluded |